UpsideDownWorld Quito,
Ecuador — On a clear day, high in this Andean capital city, the nearby
volcanoes glisten in the distance under the equatorial sun. Of the five
visible volcanoes, the most startling is Cotopaxi — both for its
proximity and for its remarkably receding glacier. Cotopaxi has lost 30
percent of its glacier over the last several years and people are
taking notice.
The first pronounced impacts of
climate change in Ecuador are just one of a multitude of reasons why
this small country, roughly the size of Colorado, is positioning itself
as a new environmental leader for a world confronting climate change.
Noted for its political upheavals and popular protest, Ecuador is now
raising eyebrows in the international policy arena with a bold proposal
aimed at achieving the seemingly impossible: leaving its oil in the
ground.
For more than three decades, oil has been a
mainstay of the Ecuadorian economy. It accounted for one third of the
state’s revenues between 1972 and 2006 and, by 2006, 60 percent of
exports. Today, Ecuador is South America’s second largest oil exporter
to the United States and on the verge of rejoining OPEC after a 15-year
absence. With oil revenue accounting for more than half of its national
budget, past governments salivated over the estimated 1 billion barrels
of heavy crude that lie beneath the country’s Amazon region bordering
Peru.
But in June 2007, the Ecuadorian government
launched perhaps its most pioneering proposal. President Rafael Correa,
a U.S.-trained economist, announced the country would be willing to
forgo the development of its largest oil reserve, the Ishpingo
Tambococha Tiputini (ITT) field, and forfeit estimated revenues of $9.2
billion, if the international community would match its financial
sacrifice through a variety of mechanisms including debt cancellation,
bilateral aid and direct financial commitments. At least $350 million
in commitments is sought by June 2008 to gauge whether there is enough
international support to make the proposal viable.
But why would a net oil exporter forgo development of its largest reserve and such substantial revenues?Yasuní National Park
The
ITT oil bloc lies beneath the Amazon basin’s most biodiverse area of
rainforest, the Yasuní National Park. Dubbed the “cradle of the
Amazon,” the park is a United Nations Biosphere Reserve. It is also
home to some of the planet’s last remaining uncontacted indigenous
peoples, whose cultural survival depends on protecting the park.
Established
in 1979, Yasuní is comprised of more than 2.4 million acres of pristine
primary tropical rainforest and boasts the highest concentration of
floral and faunal species anywhere in the world. The park contains some
4,000 plant species, 173 species of mammals and 610 bird species, and
almost as many tree species in 2.5 acres as found in all of North
America. Yasuní also contains more than 100,000 insect species per
hectare — the highest level of insect diversity in the world.
Much
of this stunning biodiversity is due to unique geographic and climate
conditions during the Pleistocene era, which rendered the area now
known as Yasuní with warmer temperatures than surrounding regions. Its
moderate temperatures allowed plant and animal life to flourish, and
Yasuní became a hotspot of biodiversity and animal migration, which
greatly contributed to the propagation of the rest of the Amazon Basin.
Yasuní is one of the few places on the planet distinguished as a
Pleistocene Refuge Area — an area in which numerous species survived
extinction during periods of dramatic climate change.
In
1999, the Ecuadorian government designated 1.8 million acres of Yasuní
National Park as a “No Go Zone,” prohibiting any type of resource
extraction in perpetuity. The reserve is home to the Tagaeri and
Taromenani, two nomadic clans of uncontacted Huaorani indigenous people
living in voluntary isolation.
It is virtually
inconceivable that the rights of the park’s indigenous inhabitants
could be upheld, or Yasuní’s irreplaceable biodiversity preserved, if
the government authorized oil drilling and exploitation.
Keeping
the oil in the ground also addresses two causes of global climate
change simultaneously: tropical deforestation and oil consumption.
Given that between one fifth and one quarter of all carbon emissions
come from deforestation, an issue not adequately addressed in the Kyoto
Protocol global warming agreement, the Yasuní-ITT proposal is very
significant in climate change terms. It would prevent an estimated 436
million tons of carbon emissions — equivalent to taking more than 46
million cars off the road — establish a vital global precedent
recognizing the role of tropical rainforests in naturally sequestering
vast quantities of carbon, and regulate regional and global weather
patterns.
“The road to avoiding climate chaos
requires valuing ecosystem services and requires leaving fossil fuels
underground,” says David Batker, director of the Tacoma,
Washington-based Earth Economics, an organization dedicated to using
science to promote healthy ecosystems. “Ecuador’s proposal represents
bold global leadership for citizens of Ecuador and the planet.”
Toward a Green Ecuador
Leaving
Yasuní’s oil in the ground is among the most significant measures yet
proposed, by a developing nation or otherwise, to tackle climate
change. But in the eyes of the Ecuadorian government, providing a
concrete solution toward reversing climate change is just one of the
many benefits.
The other major goal of the Yasuní
proposal is to create a new vision for development, establishing a path
toward a post-petroleum economy in Ecuador. With matching compensation
funds from the international community, the government of Ecuador aims
to establish the Yasuní-ITT Environmental Trust Fund, which will help
the country finance environmental initiatives within its National
Development Program. These include: the development of alternatives to
oil extraction; energy efficiency; promotion of green technologies such
as solar, wind and geothermal power; a broad social program to include
construction of green homes and schools; energy efficient public
transportation; investment in, and development of, ecotourism; and a
comprehensive environmental remediation program to address existing
contamination that will include environmental health and educational
training programs.
“Ecuador doesn’t want to
replicate a model of development based on fossil fuels,” explains Lucia
Gallardo, deputy environmental advisor in Ecuador’s Ministry of Foreign
Relations. “We want to demonstrate that a small country, with a
marginal contribution to the climate change problem, can avoid the
releasing of greenhouse gases and at the same time lay the foundation
for a more just and equal economy.”
“We seek to move
beyond a reliance on oil and toward an equitable strategy for true
energy independence that prioritizes poverty eradication, renewable
energy, clean transportation systems, and sustainable agriculture and
tourism,” says Gallardo. “The old model of attempting to drill our way
to prosperity has failed.”
Debt and Destruction
Like
many other oil-dependent countries, Ecuador has not reaped the
much-promised benefits of oil “development.” Although oil revenues were
significant in facilitating national development between 1972 and 1982,
the panorama has changed in the last 25 years. Today, Ecuador produces
more than double the amount of crude it did during the 1970s boom
years. However, the average annual per capita income increase between
1981 and 2006 was a mere 0.6 percent, and poverty levels remained
constant between 1995 and 2006. Over the last quarter century, national
indicators of poverty rose while health indicators declined.
To
the dismay of foreign companies, President Correa recently changed the
terms of oil contracts, allocating to the state 99 percent of the extra
revenues above a benchmark price from windfall oil profits. However,
the country has suffered for decades under a debilitating cycle of debt
and dependency. At the beginning of the country’s oil boom, foreign
debt hovered around $213 million. Today, it is roughly $10.6 billion.
Meanwhile,
40-plus years of oil extraction in Ecuador’s Amazon region has wrought
environmental havoc and left indigenous cultures and campesino
(farming) communities reeling. The most infamous example is Texaco’s
toxic legacy. Texaco (now merged into Chevron) drilled in the
Ecuadorian Amazon from the 1960s through the 1990s, using sub-standard
technology and allegedly dumping 18 billion gallons of toxic byproducts
directly into the rainforest, contaminating rivers and streams on which
local people still depend [See “Texaco’s Toxic Legacy,” Multinational
Monitor, November 1993]. As a consequence, one indigenous people, the
Tetetes, have ceased to exist. Cancers and other serious illnesses now
plague communities in the area, leaving several other indigenous groups
fighting for their survival. A class-action lawsuit against Chevron in
Ecuador is due to conclude in 2008, with thousands of plaintiffs
demanding an environmental remediation estimated at upward of $6
billion.
Most oil majors have now left Ecuador — a
combined result of indigenous resistance, targeted corporate
campaigning, a deteriorating foreign investment climate, and less than
ideal reserve quantity and quality — only to be replaced by an influx
of independent and state-run companies, most notably Petrobras (Brazil)
and Andes Petroleum (a consortium of China’s National Petroleum
Company, China Petrochemical Corporation and their subsidiary
PetroOriental). These newcomers are less concerned about their
reputations and are less susceptible to indigenous and environmentalist
campaign pressure. Petrobras and Andes Petroleum have both expressed
interest in acquiring ITT drilling rights should they be offered.
Petrobras
currently holds oil-drilling rights to Block 31, adjacent to ITT, and
also located inside Yasuní, but with significantly smaller reserves.
The project has been stalled due to national outcry and alleged
contractual discrepancies. Although the environmental license has been
issued, the block is not without controversy and faces several legal
and financial obstacles before moving forward. According to oil
experts, oil extraction in Block 31 is not economically feasible
without also accessing the lucrative and sizable reserves of the ITT,
as infrastructure and operational investment would make it cost
prohibitive.
The Concept of Ecological Debt
Climate
change has no borders and represents perhaps the greatest common threat
ever posed to humanity. But it reflects a grave asymmetry in
responsibility and burden. The Yasuní proposal is based on the concept
of ecological debt and the principle of shared responsibility for
climate change between developed and developing nations, as laid out in
the 1994 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.
The
responsibility for reduction of greenhouse gases is shared but
disproportionate. Industrialized countries, such as the United States,
those in Western Europe and Japan, are responsible for the majority of
greenhouse gases emitted, and the vast majority that have been emitted
over time. Unfortunately, those who already and in the future will
suffer the largest share of the impact of climate change are developing
countries — even though these impoverished societies have barely
contributed to the build-up of global warming gases. This discrepancy
in carbon emissions of the North is considered by many developing
countries as an ecological debt, owed to a majority of the global
population by a minority of industrialized nations for their continued
level of exorbitant resource consumption.
If the
worst climate change disasters are to be averted, all countries will
have to reorganize their energy sectors; and, even if the worst is
averted, all countries — and especially developing countries that by
dint of geography will be worst affected — will be forced to adapt to
changing climate.
The concept of ecological debt
suggests an obligation by industrialized countries to compensate
developing countries both for efforts to stem climate change and to
adapt to its effects. Thus, Ecuador should be compensated for its lost
annual expected revenue from production of the ITT oil fields — on the
order of $350 million. This is the income the country proposes to
forego to help address a problem of the rich countries’ making.
“The
idea that countries in the Global South would have to go further into
debt to adapt to climate change — while bearing the overwhelming burden
of its impacts — yet we contribute so significantly less to the problem
than the Global North, is unacceptable,” says Esperanza Martinez of the
Oilwatch Network, an international network of human rights,
environmental and indigenous organizations that monitor the oil
industry. Martinez and others are particularly opposed to World Bank
lending schemes to support “adaptation.”
Speaking at
the UN Dialogue on Climate Change in September 2007, President Correa
said, “The measures of adaptation to climate change represent a heavy
burden on the budgets of developing countries that could ascend to $40
billion, according to the studies of the World Bank. We do not need
loans to adapt. That would increase the burden of our external debt.
What we need is compensation for the damages caused by the
out-of-proportion amount of historical and current emissions of
greenhouse gases by industrialized countries. In other words, the
inequality in the origin and the distribution of the effects of the
global warming are not unimportant in the climate change debate.”
“Nevertheless,”
he added, “Ecuador is prepared to make enormous sacrifices, with
justice and creativity, to fight global warming.”
Energy to Keep Oil In the Ground
To
date, the Yasuní-ITT proposal has generated significant interest from
governments, international organizations and individuals. Concrete
financial commitments from the Spanish, Norwegian and Belgian
governments, as well as the United Nations Development Program, have
helped jumpstart the proposal. An expanding group of nongovernmental
organizations has committed funding and technical assistance to the
Ecuadorian government in its exploration of the viable economic options
to acquire compensation for keeping the oil in the ground, and in
seeking private and public sector financial support through the
launching of a U.S. awareness and fundraising campaign. The proposal
was selected for recognition in September 2007 by the Clinton Global
Initiative, started by President Bill Clinton to implement innovative
solutions to the world’s most pressing challenges.
In
Ecuador, the environmental advocacy group Acción Ecológica has led a
national campaign that has created a true civil society mandate to
keeping Yasuní off limits to oil drilling. Through road shows,
concerts, conferences — and the creation of a “human billboard” inside
Yasuní National Park that featured Ecuador’s Vice President, Huaorani
indigenous leaders and local supporters physically spelling out “Vive
Yasuní” and “Live Yasuní” — Acción has generated widespread public
media attention, and collected tens of thousands of signatures and
offers of five dollars for each barrel of ITT to remain permanently in
the ground.
Although President Correa is poised to
be Ecuador’s first president in a decade to serve his full term,
political turnover is the norm here, potentially leaving Yasuní’s
provisions vulnerable under a regime change. However, Alberto Acosta,
former Minister of Energy and Mines and the initial architect of the
proposal, is set to lead the newly elected Constituent Assembly charged
with drafting a new constitution, where protections for the proposal
will be included. Acosta received the most votes out of more than 600
candidates in the country’s September constituent assembly election.
From Kyoto to Quito
With
carbon emissions, global temperatures and oil prices all at record
highs, proponents say there has never been a more important time for a
proposal like Yasuní-ITT. To date, existing global initiatives have
failed to spur significant measures and commitments to mitigate climate
change.
Ecuador is looking beyond the Kyoto
Protocol, which requires ratifying countries to monitor or reduce
greenhouse gas emissions. Ecuador is seeking international agreements
that include commitments from industrialized nations to reduce global
greenhouse gas emissions while financing sustainable national
development policies and measures in the developing world, that value
avoided deforestation and avoided carbon emissions, and recognize
ecological debt.
“You can’t try to fit this proposal
into the limited parameters of Kyoto,” says the Ministry of Foreign
Relations’ Gallardo. “The Yasuní initiative breaks the mold and Ecuador
is ready to lead a movement beyond Kyoto based on justice and
innovation, that truly addresses the responsibility and needs of the
Global South in addressing climate change while creating post-fossil
fuel economies.”
“We hope the world joins us in this
landmark proposal,” Gallardo says, “and that industrialized countries
who share a greater burden of responsibility step up and take on
greater commitments. This proposal is truly is an opportunity for
everyone.”
For Ecuador’s plan to succeed, the
international community will need to respond to the call in a
significant way. With June 2008 in the not so distant future, a
substantial down payment is needed to keep the ITT oil under Yasuní in
the ground.
Will the world respond?
Anyone watching the shrinking glacier atop the Cotopaxi volcano cannot help but conclude: It better. And fast.
Kevin Koenig is the Ecuador program coordinator for Amazon Watch.
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